2019 MLB Power Rankings One Month In
One month of the 2019 MLB season is in the books, and the power rankings are starting to take shape as the sample size continues to grow larger. After just a month, it’s hard to make any definite statements but here are a few anyways:
- Tampa Bay is currently the best team in baseball. The Rays are a clear playoff team and if they don’t reach the postseason it will be a major disappointment.
- The Dodgers (+600) and the Astros (+400) remain World Series favorites, and it’s well-deserved.
- The Yankees have weathered the injury storm as well as possible and should be back in the postseason.
- It’s not time to panic yet in Boston, but I’m glad I’m not a Red Sox fan.
1. Tampa Bay Rays (19-9, +47) Previously #2 – Up 1 I’m not about to doubt this Rays team. Tyler Glasnow is blossoming into a true ace, and paired with 2018 AL Cy Young Blake Snell, that’s a terrifying 1-2 combo to face in a series, especially with their shutdown bullpen.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (19-12, +30) Previously #4 – Up 2 The Dodgers got Clayton Kershaw back and the results have been vintage Kershaw, even if the velocity is down. His addition to the rotation pushed former uber-prospect Julio Urias to the bullpen, where he instantly becomes one of the most lethal late-game relievers.
3. Houston Astros (17-12, +27) Previously #1 – No Change
4. New York Yankees (17-11, +37) Previously #11 – Up 7 The only thing holding back the Yankees from a higher ranking is the health uncertainty surrounding ace
5. St. Louis Cardinals (18-10, +31) Previously #5 – No Change
- Philadelphia Phillies (16-12, +14) Previously #6 – No Change
- Minnesota Twins (17-9, +28) Previously #7 – No Change
- Chicago Cubs (14-12, +26) Previously #15 – Up 7 Since the last set of power rankings, the Cubs have gone 9-3 and have increased their run differential from plus-three to plus-26. By expected won-loss record, they should be just a half game behind the Cardinals. Instead, they’re still in second place but 2.5 games back in the standings.
- Atlanta Braves (14-14, +5) Previously #9 – No Change
- Cleveland Indians (15-12, +1) Previously #16 – Up 6 Slowly but surely the Indians are looking more like a top ten team. Losing Mike Clevinger hurts, but this is still close to the best rotation in baseball even without the dark-horse Cy Young candidate. Shane Bieber has performed better than expectations and Francisco Lindor is finally back.
- Washington Nationals (12-15, -1) Previously #10 – Down 1
- Seattle Mariners (18-13, +14) Previously #3 – Down 9 Ranking the Mariners #3 was clearly too aggressive, but at the time their run differential and offensive attack was blinding me. This team has a legitimate top-10 offense, and I still believe in them as a contender. However, to have any chance of being there in September they’ll need to make multiple additions to a pitching staff that has given up a whopping 170 runs scored, second only to the lowly Orioles at 184.
- Milwaukee Brewers (16-14, -3) Previously #13 – No Change The Brewers have gone 5-8 since the last update and still have a negative run-differential on the season. The Brew Crew can rake, but they don’t have any impact starting pitchers at this point and the recent signing of Gio Gonzalez isn’t going to change that.
- Boston Red Sox (12-17, -31) Previously #12 – Down 2 Since the last update, the Red Sox are down another six net runs. It’s not quite time to panic, but clearly this Red Sox team is not currently among the elite, or even the near-elite in baseball.
- Oakland Athletics (14-17, -8) Previously #8 – Down 7
- Arizona Diamondbacks (16-13, +20) Previously #23 – Up 7
- Texas Rangers (14-13, +11) Previously #21 – Up 4
- New York Mets (14-14, -20) Previously #14 – Down 4
- Cincinnati Reds (12-16, +11) Previously #18 – Down 1 The Reds are an interesting team, as they’ve given up the second fewest among of runs of any team in MLB at 95 (Rays have allowed 88). However, offense was expected to be the strength of this team and yet they’ve scored the sixth fewest amount of runs at 106. Both numbers will likely regress to the mean, but overall, I still see the Reds as a near .500 team that should flirt with contention.
- San Diego Padres (16-13, -10) Previously #17 – Down 3 The Padres are 5-5 in their last 10 but have seen their run differential go down another seven runs. This team is going to need to score significantly more often if they expect to stay a contender.
- Toronto Blue Jays (14-14, +11) Previously #26 – Up 5
- Colorado Rockies (13-16, -12) Previously #27 – Up 5
- Los Angeles Angels (12-17, -6) Previously #19 – Down 3
- Chicago White Sox (12-14, -13) Previously #28 – Up 4
- Pittsburgh Pirates (12-14, -21) Previously #20 – Down 5
- San Francisco Giants (12-17, -19) Previously #22 – Down 4
- Detroit Tigers (12-14, -23) Previously #24 – Down 3
- Kansas City Royals (9-20, -24) Previously #25 – Down 3
- Miami Marlins (8-20, -58) Previously #29 – No Change
- Baltimore Orioles (10-19, -62) Previously #30 – No Change